Agent Zero and BigDSports share some good insights through comments to my previous post. Maybe a Teixeira trade with Detroit won’t happen, maybe it will. Maybe the Rangers are aiming high now to test the market value for Teixeira, but I’m more concerned that they’re not bluffing when they say they want to keep Tex. Why in the world would the do that?
Hey, he’s one of my favorie players, and I’ll be sad to see him leave. I’ll root for him wherever he goes. But the reality is – he’s leaving one way or another by the 2009 season. All indications are that last winter was the last chance the Rangers had to extend his contract. In not doing so, the Rangers led Boras and Tex to make the right business decision to wait and play the free agent market. It would take crazy money for the Rangers to keep them from getting there, but then again Hicks does have a unique track record for successfully bidding against himself.
In the meantime, Teixeira is the ONLY chip the Rangers have to shorten the rebuilding process by several years. Trading Tex for young major-league-ready-to-break-out starters (but not pure prospects likely to flame out as Rangers) is the only chance Texas has to improve its starting rotation in 1-2 seasons instead of 3-5. And, the improvements would likely be more significant in addition to being more expedient. But Hicks and team have shown an amazing capability for missing such chances.
Despite them being two of my favorite players – the Rangers should have traded Pudge and Kenny Rogers for some arms instead of letting them walk, and they should have gotten arms instead of Soriano for Alex Rodriguez.
It just hit me how ridiculous the logic is behind us being told that “the Yankees and Soriano were the only option for moving ARod.” I seriously doubt there wasn’t a way to get creative and find another team willing to trade a pitcher or three – or to get an arm out of the Yankees. With the Rangers paying almost 1/3 of ARod’s contract, some other team could have been sold on trading for ARod for a salary impact of about $17M/yr to them. The true numbers are a bit of a shell game but the Yankees are paying a 40% luxury tax on ARod’s $25M – an extra $10M more than almost any other team would have to pay. So ARod is costing the Yanks about $27M (in addition to the approximate $7 million the Rangers are paying for ARod to play in NY). Nobody else wonder if Boston, LAD, NYM, either Chicago team, and maybe the Giants or Astros would’ve taken the bait? And ARod wanted out of Texas so bad he would have gladly waived his no trade for a team in contention. NYY were top of his list, sure, but he and Boras kicked Hicks’ and Hart’s rears in negotiations coming and going. Sad.
And we sure should have gotten more for Soriano, not to mention the idiotic Juan Gonzalez trade.
Maybe Hicks and DanielsHart only like to screw up trade opportunities involving MVPs.
Oh… no, they even screw up deals involving bullpen guys, like Francisco Cordero.
Will they, can they learn? Tex is leaving. Unless they overpay for him, he’s probably going to be a Yankee in ’09. So trade him now (meaning as soon as he’s back from the DL and proves that he’s healthy and productive) while the extra season remaining on his contract can command more value than the pure rent-a-player deals that would be available next year.
So my last post may have been a bit of a knee-jerk reaction to Detroit’s moves. Maybe a Detroit trade will happen, maybe it won’t. Bottom line – Hicks and DanielsHart better trade Teixeira while his value can command the pitching talent the Rangers need.